Industry dynamics

Li Auto could reach 40,000 monthly sales in 2023, exec hints

Publishtime:1970-01-01 08:00:00 Views:31

Steady-state monthly sales of the Li L9 are expected to be in the 8,000 to 10,000 range, and both the Li L7 and Li L8 are expected to be in the 10,000 to 15,000 range, a Li Auto executive said.

(Image credit: Li Auto)

Some of the previous concerns about Li Auto's (NASDAQ: LI) different models cannibalizing each other seem overdue, at least judging by what the company's management has recently revealed.

Steady-state monthly sales of Li Auto's flagship SUV, the Li L9, are expected to be in the 8,000 to 10,000-unit range, while the Li L7 and Li L8 are both expected to be in the 10,000 to 15,000-unit range, local media outlet Jiemian said in a report today, citing the company's vice president of sales, Liu Jie, in a group interview with the media at the recent Guangzhou auto show.

This means that Li Auto could reach perhaps up to 40,000 units of deliveries per month in 2023, the report noted.

Li Auto delivered a record 21,233 vehicles in December, with deliveries of the Li L9 and Li L8 both exceeding 10,000 units, according to figures released earlier this month.

For the full year 2022, Li Auto delivered 133,246 vehicles, up 47.25 percent from 90,491 in 2021.

Li Auto delivers record 21,233 vehicles in Dec-CnEVPost

That achievement is staggering, considering the high selling prices of the Li Auto models. But at the same time, it is also something to be expected, considering that all of the company's models are extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), or plug-in hybrids that have a larger total addressable market than pure electric vehicles.

It is worth noting that China's current policies are more inclined to support pure electric vehicles, such as Shanghai not continuing to offer free new energy vehicle licenses for PHEV models starting in 2023.

Li Auto launched the Li L9 on June 21, 2022, with the same flat pricing as the Li ONE, starting at RMB 459,800 ($66,760), up RMB 110,000 from the Li ONE's RMB 349,800.

On September 30, 2022, Li Auto launched the Li L8, available in two versions, Pro and Max, with starting prices of RMB 359,800 and RMB 399,800 respectively.

Li Auto's first model, the Li ONE, was discontinued in August 2022, and the Li L9, Li L8 and Li ONE are all six-seat models.

The company began accepting reservations for its first five-seat SUV, the Li L7, at the same time it launched the Li L8 in September, also available in Pro and Max variants, with starting prices of RMB 339,800 and 379,800, respectively. The model will be officially launched on February 8.

The Li L8 is performing as expected and the market for family users is large enough, Liu said in the interview, adding that the Li L7, Li L8 and Li L9 will meet the needs of different consumers.

The Li L8 and Li L9 are aimed at families with two children and consumers who want a six-seater, Liu said.

Li L9 consumers have a purchase budget of RMB 400,000 or more, while for the Li L8 it is RMB 300,000 to 400,000, he said, adding that most of the consumers who reserved the Li L7 are young families of three.

Overall, the market for five-seater models is currently larger than the market for six-seater models, but they both have their own target groups, Liu said.

Li Auto's sales network currently covers about 120 cities, with 50 more cities expected to be added in 2023, resulting in full coverage of tier 3 cities and entry into some tier 4 cities, according to Liu.

Over 80 percent of Li Auto's sales currently come from China's tier 1, new tier 1 and tier 2 cities, which the company has largely covered with its sales network, according to Liu.

Li Auto's sales network currently covers only a portion of tier 3 cities, while for tier 4 cities it has basically not started covering them yet, Liu said.

The company currently has about 290 retail stores and expects to add 150 next year, Liu said.